Monday, May 22, 2023

The Impact of Last Year's Elections on Kenya's Economy and the Potential for Rebound

 The recent elections in Kenya had a profound impact on the country's economy, resulting in contraction and significant challenges for the new administration led by President Ruto. This article explores how the elections contributed to the economic downturn, the failures of the current administration to address the contraction, and the potential for the Kenyan economy to rebound.

  1. Election-induced Economic Contraction: The uncertainty and political instability surrounding last year's elections created a negative business environment. Investors hesitated, and consumer confidence dropped, leading to a contraction in various sectors of the economy. Local dairies, for instance, faced reduced demand and lower production due to decreased consumer spending.
  2. Failures of the Ruto Administration: Despite high expectations, the Ruto administration has struggled to implement effective economic policies to counter the contraction. Mismanagement, corruption, and lack of clear direction have hindered progress. The government's response to revitalizing local dairies and other affected sectors has been inadequate, exacerbating the economic challenges faced by ordinary citizens.
  3. Insights from Local Diaries: Local dairies have experienced a significant decline in production and revenue, with many struggling to stay afloat. Farmers have been forced to reduce their herds, resulting in income losses and increased unemployment. The failure to address these issues has highlighted the administration's inability to prioritize and revive vital sectors of the economy.
  4. Government and International Reports: Reports from the Kenyan government, as well as international organizations like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank, confirm the economic contraction and its detrimental effects. The government's own assessments acknowledge the challenges but fall short of providing effective solutions. The IMF and World Bank report

    stress the urgency of implementing comprehensive reforms and inclusive policies to stimulate economic growth.
  5. The Likelihood of Economic Rebound: Despite the current economic challenges, there is still hope for a rebound in the Kenyan economy. The resilience of the Kenyan people, coupled with the country's diverse economic sectors and entrepreneurial spirit, provide a solid foundation for recovery. However, it will require strong leadership, effective governance, and a commitment to tackling corruption and implementing sustainable policies.
The aftermath of last year's elections in Kenya has undoubtedly led to an economic contraction, affecting sectors such as local dairies. The Ruto administration's failures to address the contraction have further intensified the challenges faced by the economy. However, with the right reforms, inclusive policies, and a commitment to good governance, there is a possibility for the Kenyan economy to rebound and regain stability. It is crucial for the government to prioritize the needs of the people and work towards fostering an environment conducive to sustainable economic growth and development.

Will Kenyan Economy Rebound After Contraction

 President William Ruto's main goal to rejuvenate Kenya's economy is confronted with worldwide headwinds and strong political resistance.

For a man who climbed to the


office on the guarantee to lead a circle back in the fortunes of those at the lower part of the pyramid, Ruto faces a difficult undertaking to satisfy his statement. Does he have the financial might to match his political wit?

Saturday, April 1, 2023

How AI is revolutionizing Digital marketing, Personalization,Chat-bots, Automation and Predictive Analysis


How AI is revolutionizing Digital marketing, Personalization,Chat-bots, Automation and Predictive Analysis

AI is revolutionizing digital marketing in many ways, including personalization, Chabot’s, automation, and predictive analysis. Here are some of the ways AI is making an impact in these areas:

  1. Personalization: AI is helping to make digital marketing more personalized by using data to create targeted ads and content. By analyzing a user's behavior and preferences, AI can recommend products, services, and content that are more likely to be of interest to them. This not only improves the user's experience but also increases the chances of conversion.
  2. Chabots: AI-powered Chabots are becoming increasingly popular in digital marketing. These bots can provide instant customer service, answer frequently asked questions, and even handle transactions. Chabot’s can save businesses time and money by handling routine customer interactions, freeing up staff to focus on more complex tasks.
  3. Automation: AI is also being used to automate many tasks in digital marketing, such as email campaigns, social media posts, and ad targeting. By automating these tasks, businesses can save time and resources, while also improving the accuracy and effectiveness of their marketing efforts.
  4. Predictive analysis: AI can analyze large amounts of data to make predictions about customer behavior and market trends. By using predictive analysis, businesses can identify opportunities and challenges, optimize their marketing strategies, and make more informed decisions.

Tuesday, November 15, 2022

Hustlers versus Dynasties? The Elusive Quest for Issue-Based Politics in Kenya

COP27AfricanVoice

 At least for now the scorching sun had to take a momentarily break and we welcome the season of the short rains.

Everything that breathes under the sky is filled with life, the magic of rain. It’s true when they say “water is life”.The green canopy will soon resurface and the earth’s crust will be restored, at least for now.
Where am from the silent valley will soon roar back to life, and the sounds of soaring river Chania will reverberate through the trout valley.
At dusk, the crickets chirped monotonously and the cloaking frogs will join the rhythm, yes, all I need is my sleep done in perfect, natural harmony to fantasize my ego and fade away the bewilderments of my life.
In perfect control of my life, Finished building my castles in the air, now searching for the elixir of life.
In our times this river brought fortunes and calamities in equal measures. The river would deliver huge chunks of trees from Aberdares mountains, at least the families that had lived along the river line didn’t have to worry about the firewood for a long time. The footbridges weren’t spared either, some students from the other side of the valley were disconnected from their learning institutions for as long as the rainy season spell would remain.
Our weekend swimming expeditions would be rendered futile and caution was raised against approaching the swollen river. It was not a wonder to find a carcass of a wild animal especially buffaloes deposited in your farmyard.
Let's join the world in calling for climate justice and climate reparations, they have damaged our livelihoods and habitats, we need them to seek climate Justice. We need our River back


#COP27AfricanVoice
#CLIMATEREPARATIONS

Saturday, November 12, 2022

A Cabinet of Curiosities

 





President William Ruto's first cabinet was announced after some delay on 27 September, and a curious collection it was. With 22 cabinet secretaries, plus the President, Deputy President and the Attorney General (ex-officio), there are 25 seats at that august table.  So, let's take a look at Ruto's choices.

First, only four of 25 have held ministerial level office before (Ruto himself, Musalia Mudavadi, Davis Chirchir, Simon Chelugui). It is not a cabinet with much experience in governing. Mudavadi's elevation to Prime Cabinet Secretary gives the government gravitas, but its not obvious he had much influence on his colleagues' selection and how much actual power he will wield remains to be seen, especially as his role and that of Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua overlap significantly (just as Ruto and Fred Matangi's did before).  Only one of Kenyatta's CS's (Chelugui) was retained and continuity was not seen as of value. 

Second, Ruto did not attempt to poach from Azimio and did not reward any recent defectors to his side, seeming to focus on loyalty more than rewarding or winning more short-term support. Third, he appointed 7 women of 23 selected posts, fewer than expected and less than one third, and his choices were in some cases quite surprising.

Fourth, the ethno-regional calculus followed a familiar pattern, but with some oddities. Firstly, two of his nominees do not disclose their ethnicity directly - Zacharia Njeru was born in Nakuru slums and is probably Kikuyu or Meru; Rebecca Miano's origins are unknown. Putting them aside, it seems an ethnic calculus was followed much as most Kenyan cabinets have done, with the President's Kalenjin largest at five seats (not surprising), the core of his victory the Kikuyu next (four), then the Luhya three, Mijikenda, Meru and Kamba two, and Maasai, Somali, Mbeere, Luo and Gusii one each.  But the Kipsigis Kalenjin have three and the Nandi none, which is odd to say the least. And the northern and southern pastoralist representation is not strong. 

Of the 23 appointees, only three could be considered technocrats  - Njuguna Ndungu (ex-CBK Governor) at the treasury; Miano (ex-KenGen CEO) and  - generously - Chirchir (KPTC and IT). At least 13 are active politicians who stood for county level seats in 2022, most of who lost. Clearly promises were made and needed to be kept, to some at least.  Other close political allies - like Josephat Nanok in Turkana and Ndindi Nyoro in Murang'a - were potential candidates but did not fit in, for unclear reasons.  But it is a political cabinet above all else.

In terms of backgrounds, it is a cabinet of lawyers (Attorney General Justin Muturi, Kipchumba Murkomen, Moses Kuria, Kindiki Kithure, Rosalinda Tuya, Alice Wahome, Miano), communications experts (Alfred Mutua, Eliud Owalo, Kuria), self-made businessman (Ruto himself, Franklin Linturi, Njeru, Aisha Jumwa, Aden Duale, Chelugui) and procurement specialists (Chirchir, Susan Wafula). It is not (with exceptions) a cabinet of captains of industry or government insiders.

Finally, why we have Wafula, Njeru, Peninah Malonza and Florence Bore in the cabinet at all is a puzzling question. They appear to have few special skills or life experiences and all will struggle to make a mark at this level.  

​So, overall, a conservative cabinet (dominated by well known allies), a political cabinet (with few technocrats) and a curious one.​